2024 Breeders’ Cup Dirt Mile: Highest Final Time Rating Has Picked The Winner 5 Years In a Row

The 2024 Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile pre-entries listed above show the highest Final Time Rating (FNL RAT) each horse has earned in their career.

The horse entering the Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile with the highest Final Time Rating has won the past 5 years along with the Digests top Fractional Charting winner has won 4 out of the past 5 times.

2023 Winner | Cody's Wish | FNL RAT = 159 | $3.60 Win Payout

2022 Winner | Cody's Wish | FNL RAT = 159 | $6.32 Win Payout

2021 Winner | Life is Good | FNL RAT = 156 | $3.40 Win Payout

2020 Winner | Kicks Go | FNL RAT = 155 | $5.60 Win Payout

2019 Winner | Spun To Run  | FNL RAT = 158 | $20.20 Win Payout

The FNL RAT has proven to be a good indicator of a horse's ability to finish strong or to quickly determine which horse might have a big closing kick.  Since, the FNL RAT measures a horse's final time against our track pars, with the daily track variant factored you can easily compare each horses closing ability even if they have run on a different track, distances, and surfaces.

Projected Final Time Ratings for each horse including last and average FNL RAT and best surface and distance ratings for each horse are now included in Today's Racing Digest Race Sheet Headers.

Download a free user guide to get more information on the new Race Sheets.

Also included in chart above is the Race Class Level of each race along with the FIRE, CPR and Pace Rating earned in that race.

Expected Final Race Equation (FIRE)
Unlike other speed figures which only take into account a horse’s final time, the Fire Number is based on a horse’s speed throughout the race, taking into account each and every time recorded by the horse during the running of the race.  (PAR = 100, 2 points = one length)

Expected Comprehensive Performance Rating (CPR)
The CPR is especially powerful given that it is more then just a final speed rating which only tells you how fast a horse ran in it’s last race.  The CPR is based on pace, final time and closing fraction.  It is then modified by the track variant (place and track speed) and may be adjusted for an ‘unusual’ pace.  The CPR, with its pace component built in, tends to favor horses with a good mix of speed and stamina.

Pace Rating (PAC RAT)
A rating that shows you the expected pace of the race early for each past performance.  A comparison of this figure with the rest of the field's PAC RAT can give you a better idea of the potential shape of the race.