Kentucky Derby Prep Race
Keeneland Bluegrass Stakes 2024 Contenders and Their Highest FNL RAT Earned
Highest Performance Figures Earned By Each Horse Coming Into the 2024 Bluegrass Stakes at Keeneland
Bluegrass Stakes (G1) | Saturday, April 6, 2024 | Keeneland | Race #10 | Post Time 5:52 ET
The 2024 Bluegrass Stakes at Keeneland pre-entries listed show the highest Final Time Rating (FNL RAT) each horse has earned in their past 2 starts.
The horse coming into the Bluegrass Stakes with the highest Final Time Rating in the past two starts have won 5 out of the past 6 Bluegrass Stakes races. (2019 Winner Vekoma 7th highest FNL RAT).
| 1 | Top Conor | 2/17/2024 0:00 | Gulfstream Park | 8 | D | MSW | 1 | 72 | 104 | 156 | 117 | 1 |
| 2 | Be You | 3/2/2024 0:00 | Gulfstream Park | 2 | D | MSW | 1 | 81 | 111 | 122 | 119 | 1 |
| 3 | Seize the Grey | 2/24/2024 0:00 | Oaklawn Park | 1 | D | AOC | 1 | 82 | 123 | 132 | 128 | 2 |
| 4 | Dornoch | 12/2/2023 0:00 | Aqueduct | 9 | D | STK | 1 | 90 | 119 | 177 | 137 | 2 |
| 5 | Good Money | 3/9/2024 0:00 | Tampa Bay Downs | 11 | D | STK | 4 | 82 | 147 | 74 | 126 | 1 |
| 6 | Just a Touch | 3/2/2024 0:00 | Aqueduct | 10 | D | STK | 2 | 88 | 127 | 138 | 134 | 1 |
| 7 | Lat Long | 1/20/2024 0:00 | Fairgrounds | 13 | D | STK | 3 | 88 | 122 | 131 | 128 | 1 |
| 8 | Epic Ride | 3/2/2024 0:00 | Turfway Park | 6 | D | STK | 2 | 92 | 126 | 143 | 135 | 1 |
| 9 | Mugatu | 3/23/2024 0:00 | Turfway Park | 8 | D | STK | 8 | 86 | 109 | 107 | 122 | 1 |
| 10 | Sierra Leone | 2/17/2024 0:00 | Fairgrounds | 14 | D | STK | 1 | 96 | 142 | 86 | 137 | 1 |
| 11 | Encino | 3/2/2024 0:00 | Turfway Park | 6 | D | STK | 1 | 94 | 132 | 137 | 138 | 1 |
Below are the past 6 Bluegrass Stakes winners and their highest Final Time Rating coming into the race.
2023 Bluegrass Stakes Winner | | FNL RAT = 150 | $2.60 Win Payout
2022 Bluegrass Stakes | Zandon | FNL RAT = 144 | $6.20 Win Payout
2021 Bluegrass Stakes | Essential Quality | FNL RAT = 144 | $3.80 Win Payout
2020 Bluegrass Stakes | Art Collector | FNL RAT = 147 | $6.60 Win Payout
2019 Bluegrass Stakes | Vekoma | FNL RAT = 138 | $4.80 Win Payout
2018 Bluegrass Stakes | Good Magic | FNL RAT = 153 | $5.20 Win Payout
Learn How To Use The Final Time Rating
The Final Time Rating can be found in the 2nd to last column in the horses data boxes projected performances in Today's Racing Digest Race Sheets.
The FNL RAT has proven to be a good indicator of a horse's ability to finish strong or to quickly determine which horse might have a big closing kick. Since, the FNL RAT measures a horse's final time against our track pars, with the daily track variant factored you can easily compare each horses closing ability even if they have run on a different track, distances, and surfaces.
Also included in chart above is the FIRE, CPR and Pace Rating earned in that race.
Expected Final Race Equation (FIRE)
The highest FIRE number each horse is expected to earn in the Pegasus World Cup has predicted the winner in 4 of the 7 times the Pegasus WC has run. In addition, the horse with the highest expected FIRE has been in the money 4 out of 7 races. The Expected FIRE can be found in the header of the Digest race sheets and is selected by our expert race analyst as the figure they believe the horse will earn in today's race.
Unlike other speed figures which only take into account a horse’s final time, the Fire Number is based on a horse’s speed throughout the race, taking into account each and every time recorded by the horse during the running of the race. (PAR = 100, 2 points = one length)
Expected Comprehensive Performance Rating (CPR)
The CPR is especially powerful given that it is more then just a final speed rating which only tells you how fast a horse ran in it’s last race. The CPR is based on pace, final time and closing fraction. It is then modified by the track variant (place and track speed) and may be adjusted for an ‘unusual’ pace. The CPR, with its pace component built in, tends to favor horses with a good mix of speed and stamina.
Pace Rating (PAC RAT)
A rating that shows you the expected pace of the race early for each past performance. A comparison of this figure with the rest of the field's PAC RAT can give you a better idea of the potential shape of the race.