Breeders’ Cup Classic

Highest Performance Figures Earned By Each Horse Coming Into the 2023 Breeders' Cup Classic

Longines Breeders' Cup Classic (G1) |  Saturday, November 4, 2023  | Race #9  | Post Time 3:40 PST

White Abarrio 8/5/2023 SAR 10 210 1 108 148 138 159 1
Charge It 7/8/2023 BEL 5 205 1 102 149 149 155 2
Zandon 4/9/2022 KEE 9 200 1 100 154 114 153 9
Skippylongstocking 3/11/2023 TAM 8 200 1 100 135 170 153 4
Arcangelo 5/13/2023 BEL 6 190 1 98 158 101 152 3
Mage 5/6/2023 CD 12 200 1 100 133 152 152 4
Proxy 11/25/2022 CD 11 210 1 96 152 137 152 7
Bright Future 9/2/2023 SAR 11 210 1 99 NULL NULL 150 1
Geaux Rocket Ride 7/22/2023 MTH 12 205 1 94 149 150 150 2
Senor Buscador 7/29/2023 DMR 8 205 1 104 162 102 150 3
Clapton 9/30/2023 CD 10 205 1 106 141 135 150 1
Arabian Knight 9/2/2023 DMR 10 210 1 91 144 137 149 1
Saudi Crown 7/1/2023 BEL 6 195 2 98 125 186 147 3
Missed the Cut 10/1/2023 SA 6 200 1 85 152 108 147 1
Dreamlike 9/23/2023 PRX 13 205 2 94 135 132 141 1
Ushba Tesoro (JPN) No Data
King of steel No Data
Derma Sotogake (JPN) No Data

The 2023 Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile pre-entries listed above show the highest Final Time Rating (FNL RAT) each horse has earned in their career.

The horse entering the Breeders' Cup Classic with the highest Final Time Rating has won the past 2 years in a row.  In addition, in 2020 and 2019 the horse with the 2nd highest Final Time Rating also won the Breeders' Cup Classic.

2022 Winner | Flightline | FNL RAT = 189 | $2.88 Win Payout

2021 Winner | Knicks Go | FNL RAT = 161 | $8.40 Win Payout

2020 Winner | Authentic | FNL RAT = 153 | $10.40 Win Payout

2019 Winner | Vino Rosso  | FNL RAT = 152 | $11.20 Win Payout

Time Rating (FNL RAT) each horse has earned in their career.

The FNL RAT has proven to be a good indicator of a horse's ability to finish strong or to quickly determine which horse might have a big closing kick.  Since, the FNL RAT measures a horse's final time against our track pars, with the daily track variant factored you can easily compare each horses closing ability even if they have run on a different track, distances, and surfaces.

 

Also included in chart above is the FIRE, CPR and Pace Rating earned in that race.

Expected Final Race Equation (FIRE)
Unlike other speed figures which only take into account a horse’s final time, the Fire Number is based on a horse’s speed throughout the race, taking into account each and every time recorded by the horse during the running of the race.  (PAR = 100, 2 points = one length)

Expected Comprehensive Performance Rating (CPR)
The CPR is especially powerful given that it is more then just a final speed rating which only tells you how fast a horse ran in it’s last race.  The CPR is based on pace, final time and closing fraction.  It is then modified by the track variant (place and track speed) and may be adjusted for an ‘unusual’ pace.  The CPR, with its pace component built in, tends to favor horses with a good mix of speed and stamina.

Pace Rating (PAC RAT)
A rating that shows you the expected pace of the race early for each past performance.  A comparison of this figure with the rest of the field's PAC RAT can give you a better idea of the potential shape of the race.