Bowman Mill Stakes 2024 Analysis

By Jarrod Horak

The $200,000 Bowman Mill Stakes will be run at Keeneland on Saturday, October 26, 2024. The seven juveniles will sprint six panels on the main track and Macho Music is the 2-1 morning line favorite. The Bowman Mill goes as the sixth race on Saturday with a scheduled post time of 3:40 p.m. EDT.

Bowman Mill Stakes field: 1 – Touch Catch (4-1), 2 – Terrapin Station (6-1), 3 – Mitty’s Griddy (7-2), 4 – Macho Music (2-1), 5 – Politicallycorrect (9-2) , 6 – Long Neck Paula (8-1), 7 – White Sands (10-1).

Bowman Mill Stakes Analysis

#3 Mitty’s Griddy (7-2) broke 12th at 6-1 odds in his Sept. 12 dirt sprint bow at Churchill and he went last-to-first for the productive Florent Geroux/Brad Cox team. He sports three local works for this and he needs a better start to compete for the win.

#4 Macho Music (2-1) dueled and held the place as the beaten chalk in his five panel bow. He was the 1-2 favorite vs. Florida-breds at 5 1/2 furlongs second time out and he shook loose early and romped by 9 lengths. He was 2-1 in a local optional-claiming sprint Oct. 5 and he ran them off their feet. Luis Saez knows him now and he is fast enough to make the lead and wire the field.

#5 Politicallycorrect (9-2) broke slow from post 11, raced wide, and finished last in the Iroquois (G3) at one mile last time. He won his first two sprints and was second in an extended sprint stakes race prior to his flop last time. This shorter trip helps and Jose Ortiz is 2-for-2 with the versatile colt.

#1 Tough Catch (4-1) earned quality pace ratings from the inside post in his winning sprint bow at Saratoga. He chased the pace and was in contention turning for home in the Hopeful (G1) Sept. 2, and winner Chancer McPatrick clicked right back in the Champagne (G1). Tyler Gaffalione hops aboard and he will probably try to impact the pace from the inside post. 

Bowman Mill Stakes Wagers

#3 to win

Exacta 3/1-4-5

Exacta 1-4-5/3

Bowman Mill Stakes Video