Breeders Cup

Breeders’ Cup Classic

Highest Performance Figures Earned By Each Horse Coming Into the 2023 Breeders' Cup Classic

Longines Breeders' Cup Classic (G1) |  Saturday, November 4, 2023  | Race #9  | Post Time 3:40 PST

The 2023 Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile pre-entries listed above show the highest Final Time Rating (FNL RAT) each horse has earned in their career.

The horse entering the Breeders' Cup Classic with the highest Final Time Rating has won the past 2 years in a row.  In addition, in 2020 and 2019 the horse with the 2nd highest Final Time Rating also won the Breeders' Cup Classic.

2022 Winner | Flightline | FNL RAT = 189 | $2.88 Win Payout

2021 Winner | Knicks Go | FNL RAT = 161 | $8.40 Win Payout

2020 Winner | Authentic | FNL RAT = 153 | $10.40 Win Payout

2019 Winner | Vino Rosso  | FNL RAT = 152 | $11.20 Win Payout

Time Rating (FNL RAT) each horse has earned in their career.

The FNL RAT has proven to be a good indicator of a horse's ability to finish strong or to quickly determine which horse might have a big closing kick.  Since, the FNL RAT measures a horse's final time against our track pars, with the daily track variant factored you can easily compare each horses closing ability even if they have run on a different track, distances, and surfaces.

 

Also included in chart above is the FIRE, CPR and Pace Rating earned in that race.

Expected Final Race Equation (FIRE)
Unlike other speed figures which only take into account a horse’s final time, the Fire Number is based on a horse’s speed throughout the race, taking into account each and every time recorded by the horse during the running of the race.  (PAR = 100, 2 points = one length)

Expected Comprehensive Performance Rating (CPR)
The CPR is especially powerful given that it is more then just a final speed rating which only tells you how fast a horse ran in it’s last race.  The CPR is based on pace, final time and closing fraction.  It is then modified by the track variant (place and track speed) and may be adjusted for an ‘unusual’ pace.  The CPR, with its pace component built in, tends to favor horses with a good mix of speed and stamina.

Pace Rating (PAC RAT)
A rating that shows you the expected pace of the race early for each past performance.  A comparison of this figure with the rest of the field's PAC RAT can give you a better idea of the potential shape of the race.