Breeders Cup, Breeders Cup Race Preview

2024 Breeders’ Cup Classic: Which Horse’s Have Earned The Highest Performance Figures

Highest Performance Figures Earned By Each Horse Coming Into the 2024 Breeders' Cup Classic

Longines Breeders' Cup Classic (G1) |  Saturday, November 2, 2024  | Race # 8  | Post Time 2:41 PM PT
Next 9/23/2023 PRX 7 200 1 107 164 143 162
Fierceness 3/30/2024 GP 14 165 1 104 151 147 159
Tapit Trice 2/4/2023 GP 8 155 1 104 155 129 153
Skippylongstocking 8/25/2023 CT 11 205 1 98 142 128 153
Arthur's Ride 6/7/2024 SAR 2 170 1 101 148 144 153
Rattle N Roll 6/3/2023 CD 10 200 1 102 149 135 152
Senor Buscador 7/29/2023 DMR 8 205 1 104 162 102 150
Newgate 9/28/2024 SA 9 210 3 96 157 129 150
Highland Falls 6/1/2024 CD 10 190 1 96 141 147 149
Sierra Leone 7/27/2024 SAR 10 170 2 102 152 110 149
Pyrenees 6/29/2024 CD 11 210 2 96 134 140 144
Mixto 8/31/2024 DMR 10 210 1 93 141 135 144
Pyrenees 5/19/2008 STP 1 105 2 72 94 122 108
Next 11/7/2012 PEN 9 90 2 57 63 105 86

The 2024 Breeders' Cup Classic pre-entries listed above show the highest Final Time Rating (FNL RAT) each horse has earned in their career.

The horse entering the Breeders' Cup Classic with the highest Final Time Rating has won the past 3 years in a row and the top 2 highest FNL RAT have won 5 years in a row .

2023 Winner | White Abarrio | FNL RAT = 172 | $7.20 Win Payout
(White Abarrio also had the highest FNL RAT (159) in his last start leading up to the Breeders' Cup Classic)

2022 Winner | Flightline | FNL RAT = 189 | $2.88 Win Payout

2021 Winner | Knicks Go | FNL RAT = 161 | $8.40 Win Payout

2020 Winner | Authentic | FNL RAT = 153 | $10.40 Win Payout

2019 Winner | Vino Rosso  | FNL RAT = 152 | $11.20 Win Payout

Time Rating (FNL RAT) each horse has earned in their career.

The FNL RAT has proven to be a good indicator of a horse's ability to finish strong or to quickly determine which horse might have a big closing kick.  Since, the FNL RAT measures a horse's final time against our track pars, with the daily track variant factored you can easily compare each horses closing ability even if they have run on a different track, distances, and surfaces.

Also included in the chart above is the FIRE, CPR and Pace Rating earned in that race.

Final Race Equation (FIRE)
Unlike other speed figures which only take into account a horse’s final time, the Fire Number is based on a horse’s speed throughout the race, taking into account each and every time recorded by the horse during the running of the race.  (PAR = 100, 2 points = one length)

Comprehensive Performance Rating (CPR)
The CPR is especially powerful given that it is more then just a final speed rating which only tells you how fast a horse ran in it’s last race.  The CPR is based on pace, final time and closing fraction.  It is then modified by the track variant (place and track speed) and may be adjusted for an ‘unusual’ pace.  The CPR, with its pace component built in, tends to favor horses with a good mix of speed and stamina.

Pace Rating (PAC RAT)
A rating that shows you the expected pace of the race early for each past performance.  A comparison of this figure with the rest of the field's PAC RAT can give you a better idea of the potential shape of the race.