In Theory: Trouble Getting By Leader With Slow Fractions Made Move to Win by length and half

Three year old filly for Bob Baffert made her 1st try on the turf in the fifth on Saturday in a 1st allowance condition at a mile and a sixteenth on the green. Off at 5/2 in a field of 12 runners, she broke well under J.J. and contested the early lead into the clubhouse turn. She settled in second down the back side just one length off the lead with pretty slow fractions of 24.40 and 48.95 for the half. J.J. asked her for run at the 3/8 pole but she had a difficult time getting by the leader with such slow fractions in toll. She finally kicked clear at the 1/16 pole and won off by a length and a half at the wire. All in all, a good race for this daughter of Mendelssohn who looks like she can be a stakes runner down the road. Baffert may try her in one next or she will have to face older for the second condition. Either way this was just her 4th career start and she looks to have a good future on the lawn.

Next Upcoming Race:  

 

In Theory’s Race Information
Race Date:  July 20, 2024	Track:  Del Mar		Race #:  5
Distance:  8.5 Furlongs	Conditions: allowance optional claiming		Surface: Turf
Trainer:  Bob Baffert	Jockey:  Juan Hernandez		Track Condition:  FIRM
Trouble Notes:  up close outside, drew clear			Track Variant:  0
Finish Position: 1st	Win Payout:  $ 7.40	Place: Payout:  $ 4.60	Show Payout:  $ 3.40

Race Replay

In Theory – Del Mar –  July 20, 2024

In Theory Performance Figures Earned
Race Condition Pars	In Theory Figures Earned
Race Class Level:  140	Running Style In Race:  Front Runner
Final Time Rating Par: 150	Final Time Rating: 113
CPR Race Par:  111	CPR Earned In Race: 113
Fast Fig Race Par:  122	Fast Fig In Race:
Key Race Winners: 0	Running Style In Race:   Front Runner
(click the links above to learn more avbout each figure and how to use them in your handicapping)

Generally horses that are on the Horses To Watch list ran into unexpected trouble, bad luck, and/or didn’t run the race we believe In Theory was cabable of.  We expected that if In Theory gets a good trip in their next start than we should see an improvement in In Theory performance figures.  Use the performance figures earned in In Theory last race (listed above) and compare them to the field and pars of In Theory next start.  If In Theory appears to have earned higher performance figures in the last race when running into trouble  as compared to the rest of the field’s expected perfomance in the upcoming race than there is a good chance that In Theory will dominate the race.

Helpful Tip:  So that it’s easy for you to compare a horse’s past performance, Today’s Racing Digest’s Performance Figures for upcoming races are based on how we expect the horse to perform in that race regardless of any changes in race conditions.  Learn More: